Green arrow = downforce (towards the road), red arrow = drag (rearwards). Streamlines deflect over the wing depending on the angle of attack.
$$F_D = C_d\,q\,A,\qquad F_L = C_l\,q\,A_w,\qquad q=\tfrac{1}{2}\rho V^{2}$$
ρ = 1.225 kg/m³, C_d = drag coefficient, C_l = lift coefficient (negative = downforce), q = dynamic pressure, A = frontal area, A_w = wing area.
$$C_{d,i}=\frac{C_l^{2}}{\pi\,\mathrm{AR}},\qquad L/D=\frac{C_l}{C_{d,\text{prof}}+C_{d,i}}$$
Induced drag C_di and the lift-to-drag ratio L/D. AR is the aspect ratio (~5). Higher L/D means more downforce per unit of drag.
$$P_{\text{drag}}=F_D\cdot V,\qquad V_{\text{top}}=\left(\dfrac{2\,P_{\text{avail}}}{\rho\,C_d\,A}\right)^{1/3}$$
Power needed to overcome drag and top speed estimated from the available power P_avail. At fixed power, smaller CD·A gives higher top speed.